“We can recall Cyprus, for instance, the conflict with a long history. However the Greek part of Cyprus has been recently admitted to the EU. Thus, unsettled Cypriot conflict did not impede Europe to take such a decision. Europeans just resigned to the situation”, well-known Armenian political scientist Alexander Iskandarian, who moved in Armenia 2 years ago to head the Department of Researches of the Caucasian Media Institute in Yerevan, stated in his interview with Yerkir Armenian newspaper. The importance of Caucasus for the West is exaggerated, he says after a long-term travel across the Western Europe and Turkey. In Iskandarian’s opinion, “there are tens of territories like Nagorno Karabakh and a dozen of regions like Caucasus all over the world”. So, recognizing the independence of Karabakh as Turkey did in respect of the Northern Cyprus, Armenia will “cause a little anger”, but then everything will remain as it is. When commenting on the possibility of Azerbaijan’s resuming hostilities in case the peaceful negotiations are broken off, A. Iskandarian said the Azeri authorities are not so stupid to launch a war without being sure of victory. To make the army more efficient first the Azeri society should change, while such changes cannot occur within a short period of time. “Without such a transformation even the most brilliant plan drawn up by Turkish general is unrealizable.” According to Iskandarian, a war, which will last more than two or three weeks, will inevitably lead Azerbaijan to destabilization and inner opposition. “As for the military and anti-Armenia propaganda, it is a correct step” of political technology. However this technology has nothing to do with the resumption of war. Concluding his speech the political scientist stated that the most realistic scenario is the preservation of status quo, what is favorable for Armenians, Azeris and for the West as well.
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