The military operation in the Codori canyon is just a political PR campaign launched by Mikhail Saakashvili, head of the International Relations Department at the Institute of the Political and Military Analysis Sergey Markedonov told a PanARMENIAN.Net reporter. In his words, neither Georgians nor Abkhazians control the territory where the operations started. “This operation gives Georgians the opportunity to hold talks with the “other state structure” of Abkhazia bypassing official Sukhumi. However this territory is too small to talk about it seriously. It doesn’t even include the Galsky region mostly inhabited by Georgians,” Markedonov said.
At the same time the Russian political scientist underlined that Azerbaijan’s wish to follow Georgia’s example and launch hostilities against Nagorno Karabakh is just unsound. “The operation in Kodori is just a walk while incursion into Karabakh is a lingering and bloody war Azerbaijan can lose. Karabakh’s security zone is a deeply echeloned defense while the Defense Army of Karabakh cannot be compared to a group of Georgian “guerrillas” led by Emzar Kvitsiani. The territory of Nagorno Karabakh is really controlled what cannot be said about the Kodori canyon. There is one more nuance: late Heydar Aliyev has created an image of a victim for Azerbaijan in the West. Now, if military operations start in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict region this image will immediately crack. It will be the end of Ilham Aliyev and I suppose he understands this. It’s just a political move. From time to time he just has to tell his people that “Azerbaijan will liberate its territories. Moreover, Europe, the U.S. and of course Russia will be against Azerbaijan’s aggression. Thus, adding the factor of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline Azerbaijan will not start war. It just won’t be allowed,” Markedonov said.
